There are three coins. One is two-headed coin (having head on bot… - Vidyadip

Question

There are three coins. One is two-headed coin (having head on both faces), another is biased coin that comes up heads 75% of the times and third is also a biased coin that comes up tail 40% of the times. One of the three coins is chosen at random and tossed, and it shows heads. What is the probability that it was the two-headed coin?

✓

Answer

A be the event of choosing two - headed coin,
B be the event of choosing a biased coin that comes up head 75% of the times,
C be the event of choosing a biased coin that comes up tail 40% of the times and
E be the event of getting a head.
Now,
$\text{P(A)}=\text{P(B)}=\text{P(C)}=\frac{1}{3}$ and
$\text{P}(\text{E}|\text{A})=1,\text{P}(\text{E}|\text{B})=75\%=\frac{75}{100}=\frac{3}{4}$ and $\text{P}(\text{E}|\text{C})=60\%=\frac{60}{100}=\frac{3}{5}$
So, using Bayes' theorem, we get
P (the head shown was of two - headed coin) = P(A|E)
$=\frac{\text{P(A)}\times\text{P}(\text{E}|\text{A})}{\text{P(A)}\times\text{P}(\text{E}|\text{A})+\text{P(B)}\times(\text{E}|\text{B})+\text{P(C)}\times\text{P}(\text{E}|\text{C})}$
$=\frac{\Big(\frac{1}{3}\times1\Big)}{\Big(\frac{1}{3}\times1+\frac{1}{3}\times\frac{3}{4}+\frac{1}{3}\times\frac{3}{5}\Big)}$
$=\frac{\Big(\frac{1}{3}\Big)}{\Big(\frac{1}{3}+\frac{1}{4}+\frac{1}{5}\Big)}$
$=\frac{\Big(\frac{1}{3}\Big)}{\Big(\frac{20+15+12}{60}\Big)}$
$=\frac{\Big(\frac{4}{3}\Big)}{\Big(\frac{47}{60}\Big)}$
$=\frac{60}{3\times47}$
$=\frac{20}{47}$
So, the probability that the head shown was of a two-headed coin is $=\frac{20}{47}$.
Disclaimer: The answer given in the book is incorrect. The same has been corrected here.

Need a full question paper?

Generate a complete, print-ready paper with questions like this in minutes — across 16+ boards, with answer keys.

Start Generating Free

Explore more

More "5 Marks Questions" from Probability→Probability — all question types→Maths STD 12 Science question papers→Gujarat Board STD 12 Science question papers→Gujarat Board question paper generator→

Similar questions

Differentiate the function $x^{x \cos x}+\frac{x^{2}+1}{x^{2}-1}$ w.r.t. x.

There are two types of fertilisers 'A' and 'B'. 'A' consists of 12 % nitrogen and 5 % phosphoric acid whereas 'B' consists of 4 % nitrogen and 5 % phosphoric acid. After testing the soil conditions, farmer finds that he needs at least 12 kg of nitrogen and 12 kg of phosphoric acid for his crops. If 'A' costs 10 per kg and 'B' cost 8 per kg, then graphically determine how much of each type of fertiliser should be used so that nutrient requirements are met at a minimum cost.

A factory makes tennis rackets and cricket bats. A tennis racket takes 1.5 hours of machine time and 3 hours of craftman's time in its making while a cricket bat takes 3 hours of machine time and 1 hour of craftman's time. In a day, the factory has the availability of not more than 42 hours of machine time and 24 hours of craftman's time. If the profit on a racket and on a bat is Rs. 20 and Rs. 10 respectively, find the number of tennis rackets and cricket bats that the factory must manufacture to earn the maximum profit. Make it as an LPP and solve it graphically.

Evaluate the following integrals:
$\int\frac{\text{x}}{(\text{x}^2+1)\sqrt{\text{x}}}\text{ dx}$

Prove that: If the diagonals of a quadrilateral bisect each other at right angles, then it is a rhombus.

If the interest is compounded continuously at 6% per annum, how much worth Rs 100 will be after 10 years? How long will it take to double Rs 1000?

Prove that: If the diagonals of a quadrilateral bisect each other at right angles, then it is a rhombus.

Let N denote the set of all natural numbers and R be the relation on$\text{N} \times \text{N}$defined by $\text{(a, b) R (c, d)}$ if ad$\text{(b + c) = bc(a + d)}$. Show that R is an equivalence relation.

A and B throw a pair of dice alternately. A wins the game if he gets a total of 7 and B wins the game if he gets a total of 10. If A starts the game, then find the probability that B wins.

Using integeation, find ate area of the region bounded by the 2y = 5x + 7. x-axis and the lines x = 2 and x = 8.