Question 13 Marks
A couple has 2 children. Find the probability that both are boys, if it is known that (i) one of them is boy (ii) the older child is a boy.
Answer
View full question & answer→Sample space $=\left\{B_1 B_2, B_1 G_2, G_1 B_2, G_1 G_2\right\}$
Where, $B_1$ and $G_1$ are the older boy and girl, respectively.
Let $\quad E_1=$ both the children are boys
$E_2=$ one of the children is a boy
$E_3=$ the older child is a boy.
(i) $P\left(\frac{E_1}{E_2}\right)=\frac{P\left(E_1 \cap E_2\right)}{P\left(E_2\right)}=\frac{\frac{1}{4}}{\frac{3}{4}}=\frac{1}{3}$
(ii) $P\left(\frac{E_1}{E_3}\right)=\frac{P\left(E_1 \cap E_3\right)}{P\left(E_3\right)}=\frac{\frac{1}{4}}{\frac{2}{4}}=\frac{1}{2}$
Let $\quad E_1=$ both the children are boys
$E_2=$ one of the children is a boy
$E_3=$ the older child is a boy.
(i) $P\left(\frac{E_1}{E_2}\right)=\frac{P\left(E_1 \cap E_2\right)}{P\left(E_2\right)}=\frac{\frac{1}{4}}{\frac{3}{4}}=\frac{1}{3}$
(ii) $P\left(\frac{E_1}{E_3}\right)=\frac{P\left(E_1 \cap E_3\right)}{P\left(E_3\right)}=\frac{\frac{1}{4}}{\frac{2}{4}}=\frac{1}{2}$