Question 15 Marks
$A$ and $B$ played 12 games of chess in which $A$ won 6 games, two were drawn. They both decided to play three more games. Find the probability when :
(1) A wins three games,
(2) Two games were drawn,
(3) A and B wins alternately.
(1) A wins three games,
(2) Two games were drawn,
(3) A and B wins alternately.
Answer
View full question & answer→Probability of winning of $A=P(A)=\frac{6}{12}=\frac{1}{2}$
Probability of winning of $B=P(B)=\frac{4}{12}=\frac{1}{3}$
Probability of match drawn $=\frac{2}{12}=\frac{1}{6}$
(1) A wins three matches, its probability
$\begin{aligned}P\left(P_1 P_2 P_3\right) & =P\left(P_1\right) \times P\left(P_2\right) \times P\left(P_3\right) \\& =\frac{1}{2} \times \frac{1}{2} \times \frac{1}{2}=\frac{1}{8}\end{aligned}$
(2) Two games can be drawn in following ways Probability for $A = WDD,$ $DWD,$ $DDW$
$\begin{array}{l}=3\left(\frac{1}{2} \times \frac{1}{6} \times \frac{1}{6}\right) \\=\frac{3}{2} \times \frac{1}{36}=\frac{1}{24}\end{array}$
Probability for $B =$ $WDD, DWD, DDW$
$\begin{aligned}& =3\left(\frac{1}{3} \times \frac{1}{6} \times \frac{1}{6}\right)=\frac{1}{36} \\P(A+B) & =P(A)+P(B) \\& =\frac{1}{24}+\frac{1}{36} \\& =\frac{3+2}{72}=\frac{5}{72}\end{aligned}$
(3) A and B can win alternately in the following ways
$( A$ can win $) \times( B$ can win $) \times( A$ can win $)$
$=\frac{1}{2} \times \frac{1}{3} \times \frac{1}{2}=\frac{1}{12}$
Other will be in the following way
$($$B$ can win) $\times(A$ can win $) \times(B$ can win $)$
$\Rightarrow \quad \frac{1}{3} \times \frac{1}{2} \times \frac{1}{3}=\frac{1}{18}$
Hence, required probability
$=\frac{1}{12}+\frac{1}{18}=\frac{3+2}{36}=\frac{5}{36}$
Probability of winning of $B=P(B)=\frac{4}{12}=\frac{1}{3}$
Probability of match drawn $=\frac{2}{12}=\frac{1}{6}$
(1) A wins three matches, its probability
$\begin{aligned}P\left(P_1 P_2 P_3\right) & =P\left(P_1\right) \times P\left(P_2\right) \times P\left(P_3\right) \\& =\frac{1}{2} \times \frac{1}{2} \times \frac{1}{2}=\frac{1}{8}\end{aligned}$
(2) Two games can be drawn in following ways Probability for $A = WDD,$ $DWD,$ $DDW$
$\begin{array}{l}=3\left(\frac{1}{2} \times \frac{1}{6} \times \frac{1}{6}\right) \\=\frac{3}{2} \times \frac{1}{36}=\frac{1}{24}\end{array}$
Probability for $B =$ $WDD, DWD, DDW$
$\begin{aligned}& =3\left(\frac{1}{3} \times \frac{1}{6} \times \frac{1}{6}\right)=\frac{1}{36} \\P(A+B) & =P(A)+P(B) \\& =\frac{1}{24}+\frac{1}{36} \\& =\frac{3+2}{72}=\frac{5}{72}\end{aligned}$
(3) A and B can win alternately in the following ways
$( A$ can win $) \times( B$ can win $) \times( A$ can win $)$
$=\frac{1}{2} \times \frac{1}{3} \times \frac{1}{2}=\frac{1}{12}$
Other will be in the following way
$($$B$ can win) $\times(A$ can win $) \times(B$ can win $)$
$\Rightarrow \quad \frac{1}{3} \times \frac{1}{2} \times \frac{1}{3}=\frac{1}{18}$
Hence, required probability
$=\frac{1}{12}+\frac{1}{18}=\frac{3+2}{36}=\frac{5}{36}$