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Solve the Following Question.(4 Marks)

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Question 14 Marks
A family has two children. One of them is chosen at random and found that the child is a girl. Find the probability that

(i) both the children are girls.

ii. both the children are girls given that at least one of them is a girl.

Answer
A family has two children.

∴ Sample space S = {BB, BG, GB, GG}

(i) A: First child is a girl.

∴ A = {GB, GG}

$\therefore P(A)=\frac{2}{4}=\frac{1}{2}$

B: Second child is a girl.

∴ B = {BG, GG}

∴ A ∩ B = {GG}

$\therefore P(A \cap B)=\frac{1}{4}$

Required probability

$P(B / A)=\frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(A)}=\frac{\frac{1}{4}}{\frac{1}{2}}=\frac{1}{2}$

ii. A: At least one of the children is a girl.

∴ A = {GG, GB, BG}

$\therefore P(A)=\frac{3}{4}$

B: both children are girls. B = {GG}

$\therefore P(B)=\frac{1}{4}$

Also, A ∩ B = B

$P ( B / A )=\frac{ P ( B \cap A )}{ P ( A )}=\frac{ P ( B )}{ P ( A )}=\frac{\frac{1}{4}}{\frac{3}{4}}=\frac{1}{3}$

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Question 24 Marks
Consider independent trials consisting of rolling a pair of fair dice, over and over. What is the probability that a sum of 5 appears before a sum of 7?
Answer
When two dice are thrown, the sample space is

S = {(1, 1), (1, 2), (1, 3), (1, 4), (1, 5), (1, 6), (2, 1), (2, 2), (2, 3), (2, 4), (2, 5), (2, 6), (3, 1), (3, 2), (3, 3), (3, 4), (3, 5), (3, 6), (4, 1), (4, 2), (4, 3), (4, 4), (4, 5), (4, 6), (5, 1), (5, 2), (5, 3), (5, 4), (5, 5), (5, 6), (6, 1), (6, 2), (6, 3), (6, 4), (6, 5), (6, 6)}

∴ n(S) = 36

Let event A: The sum is 5 in a trial.

A = {(2, 3), (3, 2), (1, 4), (4, 1)}

$\therefore P(A)=\frac{4}{36}=\frac{1}{9}$

Let event B: The sum is 7 in a trial.

B = {(2, 5), (5, 2), (3, 4), (4, 3), (1, 6), (6, 1)}

$\therefore P(B)=\frac{6}{36}=\frac{1}{6}$

Let event C: Neither sum is 5 nor 7. P(C) = 1 – P(A) – P(B)

$\begin{aligned} & =1-\frac{1}{9}-\frac{1}{6} \\ & =\frac{26}{36}\end{aligned}$

Let the sum of 5 appear in the nth trial for the first time and the sum of 7 has not occurred in the first (n – 1) trials.

Probability of this event $=[ P ( C )]^{ n -1} P ( A )$

Required probability $=\sum_{n=1}^{\infty}\left(\frac{26}{36}\right)^{n-1}\left(\frac{1}{9}\right)$

$=\frac{1}{9}\left(\frac{1}{1-\frac{26}{36}}\right)$

$=\frac{1}{9}\left(\frac{18}{5}\right)=\frac{2}{5}$

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Question 34 Marks
$A$ and $B$ throw a die alternatively till one of them gets a $3$ and wins the game. Find the respective probabilities of winning. $($Assuming $A$ begins the game$).$
Answer
Since $P($ getting $3)=\frac{1}{6} , P($ not getting $3)$
$=1-\frac{1}{6}$
$=\frac{5}{6}$
In $1^{st}$ throw if $A$ gets $3, A$ wins
$\therefore P ( A$ win $)=\frac{1}{6}$
In $2^{nd}$ throw by $B ($ i.e., $A$ does not get $3),$
$\therefore P(B$ wins $)=\frac{5}{6} \times \frac{1}{6}$
In $3^{rd}$ throw by $A, P(A$ wins $)=\frac{5}{6} \times \frac{5}{6} \times \frac{1}{6}$
$(3^{rd}$ throw by $A$ shows that $B$ has lost in $2^{nd}$ throw$)$ and so on.
$P ( A$ winning $)=\frac{1}{6}+\left(\frac{5}{6}\right)^2\left(\frac{1}{6}\right)+\left(\frac{5}{6}\right)^4\left(\frac{1}{6}\right)+\ldots$
$\begin{aligned} & =\frac{1}{6}[\underbrace{1+\left(\frac{5}{6}\right)^2+\left(\frac{5}{6}\right)^4+\ldots}_{\text {infnite gometric seric }}] \\ & =\frac{1}{6}\left[\frac{1}{1-\left(\frac{5}{6}\right)^2}\right)\end{aligned}$
$\cdots\left[\begin{array}{l}\text { Sum of infinite } \\ \text { geometric series }=\frac{a}{1-r}\end{array}\right]$
$=\frac{1}{6} \times \frac{36}{36-25}=\frac{6}{11}$
$P(B$ winning $)=\frac{5}{6}\left(\frac{1}{6}\right)+\left(\frac{5}{6}\right)^3\left(\frac{1}{6}\right)+\left(\frac{5}{6}\right)^5\left(\frac{1}{6}\right)+\ldots$
$\begin{aligned} & =\left(\frac{5}{6}\right)\left(\frac{1}{6}\right)\left[1+\left(\frac{5}{6}\right)^2+\left(\frac{5}{6}\right)^4+\ldots\right] \\ & =\frac{5}{36} \times \frac{1}{1-\left(\frac{5}{6}\right)^2} \\ & =\frac{5}{36} \times \frac{36}{36-25}\end{aligned}$
$=\frac{5}{11}$
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Question 44 Marks
The ratio of boys to girls in a college is 3 : 2 and 3 girls out of 500 and 2 boys out of 50 of that college are good singers. A good singer is chosen. What is the probability that the chosen singer is a girl?
Answer
Let event S: The student is a good singer,

event B: The student is a boy,

event G: The student is a girl.

Since the ratio of boys to girls is 3 : 2 and 3 girls out of 500 and 2 boys out of 50 are good singers.

$\begin{aligned} & P ( B )=\frac{3}{5}, P ( G )=\frac{2}{5}, P ( S / G )=\frac{3}{500}, \\ & P ( S / B )=\frac{2}{50} . \\ & P ( S )= P ( G ) \times P ( S / G )+ P ( B ) \times P ( S / B )\end{aligned}$

$\begin{aligned} & =\frac{2}{5} \times \frac{3}{500}+\frac{3}{5} \times \frac{2}{50} \\ & =\frac{2 \times 3}{5}\left(\frac{1}{500}+\frac{1}{50}\right) \\ & =\frac{6}{5} \times \frac{11}{500}\end{aligned}$

$=\frac{33}{1250}$

Required probability $= P ( G / S )$

By Bayes' theorem,

$\begin{aligned} P(G / S) & =\frac{P(G) P(S / G)}{P(S)} \\ & =\frac{\frac{2}{5} \times \frac{3}{500}}{\frac{33}{1250}}=\frac{1}{11}\end{aligned}$

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Question 54 Marks
The chances of $P, Q$ and $R$, getting selected as principal of a college are $\frac{2}{5}, \frac{2}{5}, \frac{1}{5}$

respectively. Their chances of introducing IT in the college are $\frac{1}{2}, \frac{1}{3}, \frac{1}{4}$ respectively. Find

the probability that (a) IT is introduced in the college after one of them is selected as a principal.

B. IT is introduced by Q.

Answer
Let event P: P become principal,

event Q: Q become principal,

event R: R become principal,

event E: Subject IT is introduced.

$\begin{aligned} & \text { Given, } P(P)=\frac{2}{5} \\ & P(Q)=\frac{2}{5} \\ & P(R)=\frac{1}{5} \\ & P(E / P)=\frac{1}{2} \\ & P(E / Q)=\frac{1}{3} \\ & P(E / R)=\frac{1}{4}\end{aligned}$

(a) Required probability

P(E) = P(P) P(E/P) + P(Q) P(E/Q) + P(R) P(E/R)

$\begin{aligned} & =\frac{2}{5} \times \frac{1}{2}+\frac{2}{5} \times \frac{1}{3}+\frac{1}{5} \times \frac{1}{4} \\ & =\frac{1}{5}+\frac{2}{15}+\frac{1}{20} \\ & =\frac{12+8+3}{60} \\ & =\frac{23}{60}\end{aligned}$

2. Required probability = P(Q/E) By Bayes’ theorem,

$\begin{aligned} & P ( Q / E )=\frac{P(Q) P(E / Q)}{P(E)} \\ & =\frac{\frac{2}{5} \times \frac{1}{3}}{\frac{23}{60}} \\ & =\frac{8}{23}\end{aligned}$

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Question 64 Marks
Ten cards numbered 1 to 10 are placed in a box, mixed up thoroughly, and then one card is drawn randomly. If it is known that the number on the drawn card is more than 3, what is the probability that it is an even number?
Answer
S = {1, 2,…., 10}

∴ n(S) = 10

A: Number is more than 3.

A = {4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10}

∴ n(A) = 7

$\therefore P ( A )=\frac{n(A)}{n(S)}=\frac{7}{10}$

B: Number is even. B = {2, 4, 6, 8, 10}

∴ A ∩ B = {4, 6, 8, 10}

∴ n(A ∩ B) = 4

$\therefore P(A \cap B)=\frac{n(A \cap B)}{n(S)}=\frac{4}{10}$

Required probability = P(B/A)

$\begin{aligned} & =\frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(A)} \\ & =\frac{\left(\frac{4}{10}\right)}{\left(\frac{7}{10}\right)} \\ & =\frac{4}{7}\end{aligned}$

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Question 74 Marks
There are 6 positive and 8 negative numbers. Four numbers are chosen at random, without replacement, and multiplied. Find the probability that the product is a positive number.
Answer
Let event A: Four positive numbers are chosen,

event B: Four negative numbers are chosen,

event C: Two positive and two negative numbers are chosen.

Since four numbers are chosen without replacement,

n(A) = 6 × 5 × 4 × 3 = 360

n(B) = 8 × 7 × 6 × 5 = 1680

In event C, four numbers are to be chosen without replacement such that two numbers are positive and two numbers ate negative. This can be done in following ways:

+ + – – OR + – + – OR + – – + OR – + – + OR – – + + OR – + + –

∴ n(C) = 6 × 5 × 8 × 7 + 6 × 8 × 5 × 7 + 6 × 8 × 7 × 5 + 8 × 6 × 7 × 5 + 6 × 5 × 8 × 7 + 8 × 6 × 5 × 7

= 6 × (8 × 7 × 6 × 5)

=10080

Here, total number of numbers = 14

∴ n(S) = 14 × 13 × 12 × 11 = 24024

Since A, B, C are mutually exclusive events,

Required probability = P(A) + P(B) + P(C)

$\begin{aligned} & =\frac{n(A)}{n(S)}+\frac{n(B)}{n(S)}+\frac{n(C)}{n(S)} \\ & =\frac{360+1680+10080}{24024} \\ & =\frac{505}{1001}\end{aligned}$

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Question 84 Marks
The chances of X, Y, Z becoming managers of a certain company are 4:2:3. The probabilities that the bonus scheme will be introduced if X, Y, Z become managers are 0.3,0.5 and 0.8 respectively. If the bonus scheme has been introduced, what is the probability that X is appointed as the manger?
Answer
Let E1: Person $\mathrm{X}$ becomes manager
E2: Person $\mathrm{Y}$ becomes manager
Let $\mathrm{E} 3$ : Person $\mathrm{Z}$ becomes manager
$
\therefore \mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{E}_1\right)=\frac{4}{9} ; \mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{E}_2\right)=\frac{2}{9} ; \mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{E}_3\right)=\frac{3}{9}
$
(Note that $E_1, E_2$ and $E_3$ are mutually exclusive and exhaustive events)
Let event A: Bonus is introduced.
$\therefore \mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{A} / \mathrm{E}_1\right)=\mathrm{P}($ Bonus is introduced under the condition that person $\mathrm{X}$ becomes manager) $=0.3$
$\mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{A} / \mathrm{E}_2\right)=\mathrm{P}($ Bonus is introduced under the condition that person $Y$ becomes manager) $=0.5$
and $\mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{A} / \mathrm{E}_3\right)=\mathrm{P}($ Bonus is introduced under the condition that person $\mathrm{Z}$ becomes manager $)=$ 0.8
$
\begin{aligned}
& \therefore \mathrm{P}(\mathrm{A})=\mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{A} \cap \mathrm{E}_1\right)+\mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{A} \cap \mathrm{E}_2\right)+\mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{A} \cap \mathrm{E}_3\right) \\
&=\mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{E}_1\right) \mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{A} / \mathrm{E}_1\right)+\mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{E}_2\right) \mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{A} / \mathrm{E}_2\right)+\mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{E}_3\right) \\
& \mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{A} / \mathrm{E}_3\right) \\
&=\left(\frac{4}{9}\right)(0.3)+\left(\frac{2}{9}\right)(0.5)+\left(\frac{3}{9}\right)(0.8) \\
&=\frac{23}{45}
\end{aligned}
$
$
=\left(\frac{4}{9}\right)(0.3)+\left(\frac{2}{9}\right)(0.5)+\left(\frac{3}{9}\right)(0.8)
$
$\therefore$ required probability $=\mathrm{P}($ Person $\mathrm{X}$ becomes manager under the condition that bonus scheme is introduced)
$
\begin{aligned}
& =P\left(E_1 / A\right)=P\left(A \cap E_1\right) / P(A) \\
& =\frac{(2 / 15)}{(23 / 45)} \\
& =\frac{6}{23}
\end{aligned}
$
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Question 94 Marks
A bag contains 6 red, 5 blue balls and another bag contains 5 red and 8 blue balls. A ball is drawn from first bag and without noticing colour is put in the second bag. A ball is drawn from the second bag. Find the probability that ball drawn is blue in colour.
Answer
Let event $\mathrm{E}_1$ : Red ball is drawn from the first bag and event $\mathrm{E}_2$ : Blue ball is drawn from the first bag.
$
\therefore \mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{E}_1\right)=6 / 11 \text { and } \mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{E}_2\right)=\frac{5}{11} \text { (Note that } \mathrm{E}_1
$
and $E_2$ are mutually exclusive and exhaustive events)
Let event A: Blue ball is drawn from the second bag
$\therefore \mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{A} / \mathrm{E}_1\right)=\mathrm{P}$ (Blue ball is drawn from the second under the condition that red ball is transferred from first bag to second bag) $=\frac{8}{14}$
Similarly, $\mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{A} / \mathrm{E}_2\right)=\mathrm{P}$ (Blue ball is drawn from the second under the condition that blue ball is transferred from first bag to second bag) $=\frac{9}{14}$
$\therefore$ required probability $=\mathrm{P}($ Blue ball is drawn from the second bag)
$
\begin{aligned}
& \therefore P(A)=P\left(A \cap E_1\right)+P\left(A \cap E_2\right) \\
& =P\left(E_1\right) P\left(A / E_1\right)+P\left(E_2\right) P\left(A / E_2\right) \\
& =\left(\frac{6}{11}\right)\left(\frac{8}{14}\right)+\left(\frac{5}{11}\right)\left(\frac{9}{14}\right) \\
& =\left(\frac{48}{154}\right)\left(\frac{45}{154}\right)=\frac{93}{154}
\end{aligned}
$
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Question 104 Marks
Five employees in a company of 20 are graduates. If 3 are selected out of 20 at random. What is the probability that :
i) they are all graduates?
ii) there is at least one graduate among them?
Answer
Out of 20 employees, any 3 are to be selected in ${ }^{20} \mathrm{C}_3$ ways.
$\therefore n(\mathrm{~S})={ }^{20} \mathrm{C}_3$ where $\mathrm{S}$ is the sample space.
Let event A: All 3 selected employees are graduates.
Out of 5 graduate any 3 can be selected in ${ }^5 \mathrm{C}_3$ ways.
$
\begin{aligned}
\therefore \text { required probability } \mathrm{P}(\mathrm{A})=\frac{{ }^5 \mathrm{C}_3}{{ }^{20} \mathrm{C}_3} & =\frac{10}{1140} \\
& =\frac{1}{114}
\end{aligned}
$
Let event B: At least one graduate employee is selected.
$\therefore \mathrm{B}^{\prime}$ is the event that no graduate employee is selected.
Since out of 20 employee, 5 are graduates, therefore from the remaining 15 nongraduate any 3 non-graduates can be selected in ${ }^{15} \mathrm{C}_3$ ways.
$
\therefore \mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{B}^{\prime}\right)=\frac{{ }^{15} \mathrm{C}_3}{{ }^{20} \mathrm{C}_3}=\frac{455}{1140}=\frac{91}{228}
$
$\therefore$ required probability
$
\mathrm{P}(\mathrm{B})=1-\mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{B}^{\prime}\right)=1-\frac{91}{228}=\frac{137}{228}
$
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Question 114 Marks
The odds against a husband who is 60 years old, living till he is 85 are 7 : 5. The odds against his wife who is now 56, living till she is 81 are 5 : 3. Find the probability that : (i) at least one of them will be alive 25 years hence. (ii)exactly one of them will be alive 25 years hence.
Answer
The odds against her husband living till he is 85 are 7 : 5.

Let $P\left(H^{\prime}\right)=P($ husband dies before he is 85$)=\frac{7}{7+5}=\frac{7}{12}$

So, the probability that the husband would be alive till age 85

$P(H)=1-P\left(H^{\prime}\right)=1-\frac{7}{12}=\frac{5}{12}$

Similarly, P(W’) = P(Wife dies before she is 81) Since the odds against wife will be alive till she is 81 are 5 : 3.

$\therefore P\left(W^{\prime}\right)=\frac{5}{5+3}=\frac{5}{8}$

So, the probability that the wife would be alive till age 81

$P(W)=1-P\left(W^{\prime}\right)=1-\frac{5}{8}=\frac{3}{8}$

(i) Required probability

P(H ∪ W) = P(H) + P(W) – P(H ∩ W)

Since H and W are independent events,

P(H ∩ W) = P(H) . P(W)

∴ Required probability = P(H) + P(W) – P(H) . P(W)

$\begin{aligned} & =\frac{5}{12}+\frac{3}{8}-\frac{5}{12} \times \frac{3}{8} \\ & =\frac{40+36-15}{96} \\ & =\frac{61}{96}\end{aligned}$

2. Required probability = P(H ∩ W’) + P(H’ ∩ W) Since H and W are independent events, H’ and W’ are also independent events.

∴ Required probability = P(H) . P(W’) + P(H’) . P(W)

$\begin{aligned} & =\frac{5}{12} \times \frac{5}{8}+\frac{7}{12} \times \frac{3}{8} \\ & =\frac{25+21}{96} \\ & =\frac{46}{96} \\ & =\frac{23}{48}\end{aligned}$

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Question 124 Marks
The odds against student X solving a statistics problem are 8 : 6 and odds in favour of student Y solving the same problem are 14 : 16. Find the chance that : (i) the problem will be solved if they try it independently. 2. neither of them solves the problem.
Answer
$\begin{aligned} & =1-\frac{14}{30} \\ & =\frac{16}{30}\end{aligned}$

The odds against X solving a problem are 8 : 6.

Let $P\left(X^{\prime}\right)=P(X$ does not solve the problem $)=\frac{8}{8+6}=\frac{8}{14}$

So, the probability that X solves the problem

$P(X)=1-P\left(X^{\prime}\right)=1-\frac{8}{14}=\frac{6}{14}$

Similarly, let P(Y) = P(Y solves the problem)

Since odds in favour of Y solving the problem are 14 : 16,

$P(Y)=\frac{14}{14+16}=\frac{14}{30}$

So, the probability that Y does not solve the problem P(Y’) = 1 – P(Y)

$\begin{aligned} & =1-\frac{14}{30} \\ & =\frac{16}{30}\end{aligned}$

(i) Required probability

P(X ∪ Y) = P(X) + P(Y) – P(X ∩ Y)

Since X and Y are independent events,

P(X ∩ Y) = P(X) . P(Y)

∴ Required probability = P(X) + P(Y) – P(X) . P(Y)

$\begin{aligned} & =\frac{6}{14}+\frac{14}{30}-\frac{6}{14} \times \frac{14}{30} \\ & =\frac{73}{105}\end{aligned}$

2.Required probability = P(X’ ∩ Y’)

Since X and Y are independent events, X’ and Y’ are also independent events.

∴ Required probability = P(X’) . P(Y’)

$\begin{aligned} & =\frac{8}{14} \times \frac{16}{30} \\ & =\frac{32}{105}\end{aligned}$

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Question 134 Marks
There are three social media groups on a mobile: Group I, Group II and Group III. The

probabilities that Group I, Group II and Group III sending the messages on sports are $\frac{2}{5}, \frac{1}{2}$

and $\frac{2}{3}$ respectively. The probability of opening the messages by Group I, Group II and

Group III are $\frac{1}{2}, \frac{1}{4}$ and $\frac{1}{4}$ respectively. Randomly one of the messages is opened and

found a message on sports. What is the probability that the message was from Group III.

Answer
Let event A: Message sent on sports by group I,

event B: Message sent on sports by group II,

event C: Message sent on sports by group III,

event E: Message is opened.

Given that the probabilities that Group I, Group II and Group III sending the messages on

sports are $\frac{2}{5}, \frac{1}{2}$ and $\frac{2}{3}$ respectively and the probability of opening the messages by Group

I, Group II and Group III are $\frac{1}{2}, \frac{1}{4}$ and $\frac{1}{4}$ respectively.

$\begin{aligned} & \therefore P(A)=\frac{2}{5} \\ & P(B)=\frac{1}{2} \\ & P(C)=\frac{2}{3} \\ & P(E / A)=\frac{1}{2} \\ & P(E / B)=\frac{1}{4} \\ & P(E / C)=\frac{1}{4}\end{aligned}$

Required probability = P(C/E) By Baye’s theorem

$\begin{aligned} & P ( C / E ) \\ & =\frac{ P ( C ) P ( E / C )}{ P ( A ) P ( E / A )+ P ( B ) P ( E / B )+ P ( C ) P ( E / C )} \\ & =\frac{\frac{2}{3} \times \frac{1}{4}}{\frac{2}{5} \times \frac{1}{2}+\frac{1}{2} \times \frac{1}{4}+\frac{2}{3} \times \frac{1}{4}}\end{aligned}$

$\begin{aligned} & =\frac{\frac{1}{6} \text {}}{\frac{1}{5}+\frac{1}{8}+\frac{1}{6}} \\ & =\frac{\frac{1}{6}}{\frac{59}{120}}=\frac{20}{59}\end{aligned}$

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Question 144 Marks
A box contains three coins: two fair coins and one fake two-headed coin. A coin is picked randomly from the box and tossed.(i) What is the probability that it lands head up?(ii) If happens to be head, what is the probability that it is the two-headed coin?
Answer
Let event A: Fair coin is tossed,

event B: Fake coin is tossed

and event H: Head occur.

Clearly, a fair coin has one head.

$\therefore$ Probability that head occur under the condition that the fair coin is tossed $=P(H / A)=\frac{1}{2}$

Fake coin has two heads.

∴ Probability that head occur under the condition that the fake coin is tossed = P(H/B) = 1 n(A) = 2, n(B) = 1, n(S) = 3

$\begin{aligned} & \therefore P ( A )=\frac{n(A)}{n(S)}=\frac{2}{3} \\ & P ( B )=\frac{n(B)}{n(S)}=\frac{1}{3}\end{aligned}$

(i) Required probability P(H) = P(A) P(H/A) + P(B) P(H/B)

$\begin{aligned} & =\frac{2}{3} \times \frac{1}{2}+\frac{1}{3} \times 1 \\ & =\frac{1}{3}+\frac{1}{3} \\ & =\frac{2}{3}\end{aligned}$

2. Required probability = P(B/H) By Baye’s theorem

$\begin{aligned} P(B / H) & =\frac{P(B) P(H / B)}{P(H)} \\ & =\frac{\frac{1}{3} \times 1}{\frac{2}{3}}\end{aligned}$

$=\frac{1}{2}$

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Question 154 Marks
A diagnostic test has a probability 0.95 of giving a positive result when applied to a person suffering from a certain disease, and a probability 0.10 of giving a (false) positive result when applied to a non-sufferer. It is estimated that 0.5% of the population are sufferers. Suppose that the test is now administered to a person about whom we have no relevant information relating to the disease (apart from the fact that he/she comes from this population). Calculate the probability that: (i) given a positive result, the person is a sufferer.(ii)given a negative result, the person is a non-sufferer.
Answer
Let event T: Test positive event S: Sufferer

$P(S)=\frac{0.5}{100}=0.005$

∴ P(S’) = 1 – P(S) = 1 – 0.005 = 0.995 Since a probability of getting a positive result when applied to a person suffering from a disease is 0.95 and probability of getting positive result when applied to a non sufferer is 0.10.

∴ P(T/S) = 0.95 and P(T/S’) = 0.10

∴ P(T) = P(S) P(T/S) + P(S’) P(T/S’) = 0.005 × 0.95 + 0.995 × 0.10 = 0.10425

∴ P(T’) = 1 – P(T) = 1 – 0.10425 = 0.8958

(i) Required probability = P(S/T)

By Bayes’ theorem,

$P ( S / T )=\frac{ P ( S ) P ( T / S )}{ P ( T ) }$

$=\frac{0.005 \times 0.95}{0.10425}=\frac{0.00475}{0.10425}$

2. P(T’/S’) = 1 – 0.1 = 0.9

Required probability = P(S’/T’)

By Bayes’ theorem

$\begin{aligned} P \left( S ^{\prime} / T ^{\prime}\right) & =\frac{ P \left( S ^{\prime}\right) P \left( T ^{\prime} / S ^{\prime}\right)}{ P \left( T ^{\prime}\right)} \\ & =\frac{0.995 \times 0.9}{0.8958} \\ & =\frac{0.8955}{0.8958}\end{aligned}$

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Question 164 Marks
There is a working women’s hostel in a town, where 75% are from neighbouring town. The rest all are from the same town. 48% of women who hail from the same town are graduates and 83% of the women who have come from the neighbouring town are also graduates. Find the probability that a woman selected at random is a graduate from the same town.
Answer
Let the total number of women be 100.

∴ n(S) = 100

Let event N: Women are from neighbouring town, event W: Women are from same town and event G: Women are graduates. Number of women from neighbouring town,

n(N) = 75

Number of women from same town,

n(W) = 25

$\begin{aligned} & \therefore P ( N )=\frac{n(N)}{n(S)}=\frac{75}{100} \text { and } \\ & P ( W )=\frac{n(W)}{n(S)}=\frac{25}{100}\end{aligned}$

P(G/N), P(G/W) represent probabilities that woman is graduate given that she is from neighbouring town or same town respectively.

$\begin{aligned} & \therefore P(G / N)=\frac{n(G / N)}{n(S)}=\frac{83}{100} \text { and } \\ & P(G / W)=\frac{n(G / W)}{n(S)}=\frac{48}{100}\end{aligned}$

By Bayes’ theorem, the probability that a women selected at random is a graduate from the same town, is given by

$P ( W / G )=\frac{ P ( W ) P ( G / W )}{ P ( W ) \cdot P ( G / W )+ P ( N ) \cdot P ( G / N )}$

$=\frac{\left(\frac{25}{100}\right) \cdot\left(\frac{48}{100}\right)}{\left(\frac{25}{100}\right) \cdot\left(\frac{48}{100}\right)+\left(\frac{75}{100}\right) \cdot\left(\frac{83}{100}\right)}$

$\begin{aligned} & =\frac{25 \times 48}{(25 \times 48)+(75 \times 83)} \\ & =\frac{48}{48+249}\end{aligned}$

$=\frac{16}{99}$

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Question 174 Marks
A box contains 2 blue and 3 pink balls and another box contains 4 blue and 5 pink balls. One ball is drawn at random from one of the two boxes and it is found to be pink. Find the probability that it was drawn from (i) first box. (ii)second box
Answer
Let event $A_1$ : The ball is drawn from 1 st box and

event $A _2:$ The ball is drawn from the 2 nd box.

$\therefore P\left(A_1\right)=\frac{1}{2}, P\left(A_2\right)=\frac{1}{2}$

Let event B: The ball drawn is pink. There are 5 balls in the 1st box, of which 3 are pin

$\therefore P\left(B / A_1\right)=\frac{3}{5}$

There are 9 balls in the 2nd box, of which 5 are pink.

$\therefore P \left( B / A _2\right)=\frac{5}{9}$

(i) By Bayes’ theorem,

the probability that a pink ball is drawn from the first box, is given by

$P\left(A_1 / B\right)=\frac{P\left(A_1\right) \cdot P\left(B / A_1\right)}{P\left(A_1\right) \cdot P\left(B / A_1\right)+P\left(A_2\right) \cdot P\left(B / A_2\right)}$

$=\frac{\frac{1}{2} \times \frac{3}{5}}{\frac{1}{2} \times \frac{3}{5}+\frac{1}{2} \times \frac{5}{9}}$

$=\frac{\frac{3}{10}}{\frac{3}{10}+\frac{5}{18}}=\frac{\frac{3}{10}}{\frac{27+25}{90}}=\frac{\frac{3}{10}}{\frac{52}{90}}=\frac{27}{52}$

2. By Bayes’ theorem,

the probability that a pink ball is drawn from the second box, is given by

$\begin{aligned} & P\left(A_2 / B\right) \\ & =\frac{P\left(A_2\right) \cdot P\left(B / A_2\right)}{P\left(A_1\right) \cdot P\left(B / A_1\right)+P\left(A_2\right) \cdot P\left(B / A_2\right)}\end{aligned}$

$=\frac{\frac{1}{2} \times \frac{5}{9}}{\frac{1}{2} \times \frac{3}{5}+\frac{1}{2} \times \frac{5}{9}}$

$=\frac{\frac{5}{18}}{\frac{3}{10}+\frac{5}{18}}=\frac{\frac{5}{18}}{\frac{27+25}{90}}=\frac{\frac{5}{18}}{\frac{52}{90}}=\frac{25}{52}$

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Question 184 Marks
A box contains 10 red balls and 15 green balls. Two balls are drawn in succession without replacement. What is the probability that,

i. the first is red and the second is green?

ii. one is red and the other is green?

Answer
1. Total number of balls = 10 + 15 = 25

(a) Let event A: First ball drawn is red.

$\therefore P(A)=\frac{{ }^{10} C _1}{{ }^{25} C _1}=\frac{10}{25}=\frac{2}{5}$

Let event B: Second ball drawn is green. Since the first red ball is not replaced in the box, we now have 24 balls, out of which 15 are green.

∴ Probability that the second ball is green under the condition that the first red ball is not

replaced in the box $=P(B / A)=\frac{{ }^{15} C _1}{{ }^{24} C _1}=\frac{15}{24}=\frac{5}{8}$

∴ Required probability = P(A ∩ B) = P(B/A) . P(A)

$\begin{aligned} & =\frac{2}{5} \times \frac{5}{8} \\ & =\frac{1}{4}\end{aligned}$

2. To find the probability that one ball is red and the other is green, there are two possibilities:

First ball is red and second ball is green.

OR

The first ball is the green and the second ball is red.

From above, we get

$P$ (First ball is red and second ball is green) $=\frac{1}{4}$

Similarly,

$P ($ First ball is green and second ball is red $)=\frac{{ }^{15} C _1}{{ }^{25} C _1} \times \frac{{ }^{10} C _1}{{ }^{24} C _1}=\frac{15}{25} \times \frac{10}{24}=\frac{1}{4}$

∴ Required probability = P(First ball is red and second ball is green) + P(First ball is green and second ball is red)

$\begin{aligned} & =\frac{1}{4}+\frac{1}{4} \\ & =\frac{1}{2}\end{aligned}$

View full question & answer
Question 194 Marks
Two dice are thrown together. Let A be the event ‘getting 6 on the first die’ and B be the event ‘getting 2 on the second die’. Are events A and B independent?
Answer
When two dice are thrown, the sample space is

S = {(1, 1), (1, 2), (1, 3), (1, 4), (1, 5), (1, 6), (2, 1), (2, 2), (2, 3), (2, 4), (2, 5), (2, 6), (3, 1), (3, 2), (3, 3), (3, 4), (3, 5), (3, 6), (4, 1), (4, 2), (4, 3), (4, 4), (4, 5), (4, 6), (5, 1), (5, 2), (5, 3), (5, 4), (5, 5), (5, 6), (6, 1), (6, 2), (6, 3), (6, 4), (6, 5), (6, 6)}

∴ n(S) = 36 Let event A: Getting 6 on the first die.

∴ A = {(6, 1), (6, 2), (6, 3), (6, 4), (6, 5), (6, 6)}

∴ n(A) = 6

$\therefore P ( A )=\frac{n(A)}{n(S)}=\frac{6}{36}=\frac{1}{6}$

Let event B : Gettting 2 on the second die.

∴ B = {(1, 2), (2, 2), (3, 2), (4, 2), (5, 2), (6, 2)}

∴ n(B) = 6

$\therefore P ( B )=\frac{n(B)}{n(S)}=\frac{6}{36}=\frac{1}{6}$

Now, A ∩ B = {(6, 2)}

∴ n(A ∩ B) = 1

$\begin{aligned} & \therefore P(A \cap B)=\frac{n(A \cap B)}{n(S)}=\frac{1}{36} \ldots \ldots \text { (i) } \\ & P(A) \times P(B)=\frac{1}{6} \times \frac{1}{6}=\frac{1}{36} \ldots \ldots .(\text {ii) }\end{aligned}$

From (i) and (ii), we get

P(A ∩ B) = P(A) × P(B)

∴ A and B are independent events.

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Question 204 Marks
A, B, and C try to hit a target simultaneously but independently. Their respective

probabilities of hitting the target are $\frac{3}{4}, \frac{1}{2}$ and $\frac{5}{8}$. Find the probability that the target

(a)is hit exactly by one of them.

(b) is not hit by any one of them.

(c) is hit.

(d) is exactly hit by two of them.

Answer
Let event A: A can hit the target,

event B: B can hit the target,

event C: C can hit the target.

$\therefore \quad P ( A )=\frac{3}{4}, P ( B )=\frac{1}{2}, P ( C )=\frac{5}{8}$

$\therefore \quad P \left( A ^{\prime}\right)=1- P ( A )=1-\frac{3}{4}=\frac{1}{4}$

$P\left(B^{\prime}\right)=1-P(B)=1-\frac{1}{2}=\frac{1}{2}$

$P\left(C^{\prime}\right)=1-P(C)=1-\frac{5}{8}=\frac{3}{8}$

Since A, B, C are independent events,

A’, B’, C’ are also independent events.

(a) Let event W: Target is hit exactly by one of them.

$\begin{array}{r} P ( W )= P \left( A \cap B ^{\prime} \cap C ^{\prime}\right) \cup P \left( A ^{\prime} \cap B \cap C ^{\prime}\right) \\ \cup P \left( A ^{\prime} \cap B ^{\prime} \cap C \right) \\ = P ( A ) \cdot P ^{\prime}\left( B ^{\prime}\right) \cdot P \left( C ^{\prime}\right)+ P \left( A ^{\prime}\right) \cdot P ( B ) \cdot P \left( C ^{\prime}\right)\end{array}$

$+ P \left( A ^{\prime}\right) \cdot P \left( B ^{\prime}\right) \cdot P ( C )$

$\begin{aligned} & =\left(\frac{3}{4} \times \frac{1}{2} \times \frac{3}{8}\right)+\left(\frac{1}{4} \times \frac{1}{2} \times \frac{3}{8}\right)+\left(\frac{1}{4} \times \frac{1}{2} \times \frac{5}{8}\right) \\ & =\frac{9}{64}+\frac{3}{64}+\frac{5}{64}=\frac{17}{64}\end{aligned}$

Let event X: Target is not hit by any one of them.

∴ P(X) = P(A’ ∩ B’ ∩ C’)

= P(A’) P(B’) P(C’)

$\begin{aligned} & =\frac{1}{4} \times \frac{1}{2} \times \frac{3}{8} \\ & =\frac{3}{64}\end{aligned}$

Let event Y: Target is hit.

∴ P(Y) = 1 – P(target is not hit by any one of them)

$\begin{aligned} & =1-\frac{3}{64} \\ & =\frac{61}{64}\end{aligned}$

Let event Z: Target is hit by exactly two of them.

$\begin{aligned} P(Z)=P\left(A \cap B \cap C^{\prime}\right) \cup P\left(A \cap B^{\prime} \cap C\right) \\ \cup P\left(A^{\prime} \cap B \cap C\right) \\ =P(A) \cdot P(B) \cdot P\left(C^{\prime}\right)+P(A) \cdot P\left(B^{\prime}\right) \cdot P(C)\end{aligned}$

$+ P \left( A ^{\prime}\right) \cdot P ( B ) \cdot P ( C )$

$\begin{aligned} & =\left(\frac{3}{4} \times \frac{1}{2} \times \frac{3}{8}\right)+\left(\frac{3}{4} \times \frac{1}{2} \times \frac{5}{8}\right)+\left(\frac{1}{4} \times \frac{1}{2} \times \frac{5}{8}\right) \\ & =\frac{9}{64}+\frac{15}{64}+\frac{5}{64}=\frac{29}{64}\end{aligned}$

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Question 214 Marks
A number is drawn at random from the numbers 1 to 50. Find the probability that it is divisible by 2 or 3 or 10.
Answer
One number can be drawn at random from the numbers 1 to 50 in $^{50} C _1=50$ ways.

∴ n(S) = 50

Let event A: The number drawn is divisible by 2.

∴ A = {2, 4, 6, 8, 10, …, 48, 50}

∴ n(A) = 25

$\therefore P(A)=\frac{n(A)}{n(S)}=\frac{25}{50}$

Let event B: The number drawn is divisible by 3.

B = {3, 6, 9, 12, …, 48}

∴ n(B) = 16

$\therefore P(B)=\frac{n(B)}{n(S)}=\frac{16}{50}$

Let event C: The number drawn is divisible by 10.

C = {10, 20, 30, 40, 50}

∴ n(C) = 5

$\therefore P (C)=\frac{n(C)}{n(S)}=\frac{5}{50}$

Now, A ∩ B = {6, 12, 18, 24, 30, 36, 42, 48}

∴ n(A ∩ B) = 8

$\therefore P ( A \cap B )=\frac{n(A \cap B)}{n(S)}=\frac{8}{50}$

B ∩ C = {30}

∴ n(B ∩ C) = 1

$\therefore P ( B \cap C )=\frac{ n ( B \cap C )}{ n ( S )}=\frac{1}{50}$

A ∩ C = {10, 20, 30, 40, 50} ∴ n(A ∩ C) = 5

$\therefore P(A \cap C)=\frac{n(A \cap C)}{n(S)}=\frac{5}{50}$

A ∩ B ∩ C = {30}

∴ n(A ∩ B ∩ C) = 1

$\therefore P ( A \cap B \cap C )=\frac{n(A \cap B \cap C)}{n(S)}=\frac{1}{50}$

∴ P(the number is divisible by 2 or 3 or 10) P(A ∪ B ∪ C) = P(A) + P(B) + P(C) – P(A ∩ B) – P(B ∩ C) – P(A ∩ C) + P(A ∩ B ∩ C)

$\begin{aligned} & =\frac{25}{50}+\frac{16}{50}+\frac{5}{50}-\frac{8}{50}-\frac{1}{50}-\frac{5}{50}+\frac{1}{50} \\ & =\frac{33}{50}\end{aligned}$

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Question 224 Marks
From a group of 4 men, 4 women and 3 children, 4 persons are selected at random. Find the probability that,

(i) no child is selected.

(ii)exactly 2 men are selected.
Answer
The group consists of 4 men, 4 women and 3 children, i.e., 4 + 4 + 3 = 11 persons. 4 persons are to be selected from this group.

$\therefore 4$ persons can be selected from 11 persons in ${ }^{11} C _4$ ways.

$\therefore n ( S )={ }^{11} C _4$

(i) Let event A: No child is selected.

$\therefore 4$ persons can be selected from 4 men and 4 women, i.e., from 8 persons in ${ }^8 C _4$ ways.

$\begin{aligned} \therefore n ( A ) & ={ }^8 C _4 \\ P ( A ) & =\frac{ n ( A )}{ n ( S )} \\ & =\frac{{ }^8 C _4}{{ }^{11} C _4} \\ & =\frac{8 \times 7 \times 6 \times 5}{11 \times 10 \times 9 \times 8} \\ & =\frac{1680}{7920} \\ & =\frac{7}{33}\end{aligned}$

2. Let event B: Exactly 2 men are selected.

$\therefore 2$ men are selected from 4 men in ${ }^4 C _2$ ways, and remaining 2 persons are selected from

7 persons (i.e., 4 women and 3 children) in ${ }^7 C _2$ ways.

$\begin{aligned} n ( A ) & ={ }^4 C _2 \times{ }^7 C _2 \\ P ( A ) & =\frac{ n ( A )}{ n ( S )} \\ & =\frac{{ }^4 C _2 \times{ }^7 C _2}{{ }^{11} C _4} \\ & =\frac{\frac{4 \times 3}{2} \times \frac{7 \times 6}{2}}{\frac{11 \times 10 \times 9 \times 8}{4 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1}} \\ & =\frac{126}{330} \\ & =\frac{21}{55}\end{aligned}$

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Question 234 Marks
First, 6 faced die which is numbered 1 to 6 is thrown, then a 5 faced die which is numbered 1 to 5 is thrown. What is the probability that sum of the numbers on the upper faces of the dice is divisible by 2 or 3?
Answer
When a 6 faced die and a 5 faced die are thrown, the sample space is

S = {(1, 1), (1, 2), (1, 3), (1, 4), (1, 5), (2, 1), (2, 2), (2, 3), (2, 4), (2, 5), (3, 1), (3, 2), (3, 3), (3, 4), (3, 5), (4, 1), (4, 2), (4, 3), (4,4), (4, 5), (5, 1), (5, 2), (5, 3), (5, 4), (5, 5), (6, 1), (6, 2), (6, 3), (6, 4), (6, 5)}

∴ n(S) = 30

Let event A: The sum of the numbers on the upper faces of the dice is divisible by 2.

A = {(1, 1), (1, 3), (1, 5), (2, 2), (2, 4), (3, 1), (3, 3), (3, 5), (4, 2), (4, 4), (5, 1), (5, 3), (5, 5), (6, 2), (6, 4)}

∴ n(A) = 15

$\therefore P ( A )=\frac{n(A)}{n(S)}=\frac{15}{30}$

Let event B: Sum of the numbers on the upper faces of the dice is divisible by 3.

B = {(1, 2), (1, 5), (2, 1), (2, 4), (3, 3), (4, 2), (4, 5), (5, 1), (5, 4), (6, 3)}

∴ n(B) = 10

$\therefore P(B)=\frac{n(B)}{n(S)}=\frac{10}{30}$

Now,

A ∩ B = {(1, 5), (2,4), (3, 3), (4, 2), (5, 1)}

∴ n(A ∩ B) = 5

$\therefore P(A \cap B)=\frac{n(A \cap B)}{n(S)}=\frac{5}{30}$

∴ Required probability P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A ∩ B)

$\begin{aligned} & =\frac{15}{30}+\frac{10}{30}-\frac{5}{30} \\ & =\frac{20}{30} \\ & =\frac{2}{3}\end{aligned}$

View full question & answer
Question 244 Marks
A number is drawn at random from the numbers 1 to 50. Find the probability that it is divisible by 2 or 3 or 10.
Answer
One number can be drawn at random from the numbers 1 to 50 in $^{50} C _1=50$ ways.

∴ n(S) = 50

Let event A: The number drawn is divisible by 2.

∴ A = {2, 4, 6, 8, 10, …, 48, 50}

∴ n(A) = 25

$\therefore P(A)=\frac{n(A)}{n(S)}=\frac{25}{50}$

Let event B: The number drawn is divisible by 3.

B = {3, 6, 9, 12, …, 48}

∴ n(B) = 16

$\therefore P(B)=\frac{n(B)}{n(S)}=\frac{16}{50}$

Let event C: The number drawn is divisible by 10.

C = {10, 20, 30, 40, 50}

∴ n(C) = 5

$\therefore P (C)=\frac{n(C)}{n(S)}=\frac{5}{50}$

Now, A ∩ B = {6, 12, 18, 24, 30, 36, 42, 48}

∴ n(A ∩ B) = 8

$\therefore P ( A \cap B )=\frac{n(A \cap B)}{n(S)}=\frac{8}{50}$

B ∩ C = {30}

∴ n(B ∩ C) = 1

$\therefore P ( B \cap C )=\frac{ n ( B \cap C )}{ n ( S )}=\frac{1}{50}$

A ∩ C = {10, 20, 30, 40, 50} ∴ n(A ∩ C) = 5

$\therefore P(A \cap C)=\frac{n(A \cap C)}{n(S)}=\frac{5}{50}$

A ∩ B ∩ C = {30}

∴ n(A ∩ B ∩ C) = 1

$\therefore P ( A \cap B \cap C )=\frac{n(A \cap B \cap C)}{n(S)}=\frac{1}{50}$

∴ P(the number is divisible by 2 or 3 or 10) P(A ∪ B ∪ C) = P(A) + P(B) + P(C) – P(A ∩ B) – P(B ∩ C) – P(A ∩ C) + P(A ∩ B ∩ C)

$\begin{aligned} & =\frac{25}{50}+\frac{16}{50}+\frac{5}{50}-\frac{8}{50}-\frac{1}{50}-\frac{5}{50}+\frac{1}{50} \\ & =\frac{33}{50}\end{aligned}$

View full question & answer
Question 254 Marks
From a group of 4 men, 4 women and 3 children, 4 persons are selected at random. Find the probability that,

(i) no child is selected.

(ii)exactly 2 men are selected.
Answer
The group consists of 4 men, 4 women and 3 children, i.e., 4 + 4 + 3 = 11 persons. 4 persons are to be selected from this group.

$\therefore 4$ persons can be selected from 11 persons in ${ }^{11} C _4$ ways.

$\therefore n ( S )={ }^{11} C _4$

(i) Let event A: No child is selected.

$\therefore 4$ persons can be selected from 4 men and 4 women, i.e., from 8 persons in ${ }^8 C _4$ ways.

$\begin{aligned} \therefore n ( A ) & ={ }^8 C _4 \\ P ( A ) & =\frac{ n ( A )}{ n ( S )} \\ & =\frac{{ }^8 C _4}{{ }^{11} C _4} \\ & =\frac{8 \times 7 \times 6 \times 5}{11 \times 10 \times 9 \times 8} \\ & =\frac{1680}{7920} \\ & =\frac{7}{33}\end{aligned}$

2. Let event B: Exactly 2 men are selected.

$\therefore 2$ men are selected from 4 men in ${ }^4 C _2$ ways, and remaining 2 persons are selected from

7 persons (i.e., 4 women and 3 children) in ${ }^7 C _2$ ways.

$\begin{aligned} n ( A ) & ={ }^4 C _2 \times{ }^7 C _2 \\ P ( A ) & =\frac{ n ( A )}{ n ( S )} \\ & =\frac{{ }^4 C _2 \times{ }^7 C _2}{{ }^{11} C _4} \\ & =\frac{\frac{4 \times 3}{2} \times \frac{7 \times 6}{2}}{\frac{11 \times 10 \times 9 \times 8}{4 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1}} \\ & =\frac{126}{330} \\ & =\frac{21}{55}\end{aligned}$

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Question 264 Marks
First, 6 faced die which is numbered 1 to 6 is thrown, then a 5 faced die which is numbered 1 to 5 is thrown. What is the probability that sum of the numbers on the upper faces of the dice is divisible by 2 or 3?
Answer
When a 6 faced die and a 5 faced die are thrown, the sample space is

S = {(1, 1), (1, 2), (1, 3), (1, 4), (1, 5), (2, 1), (2, 2), (2, 3), (2, 4), (2, 5), (3, 1), (3, 2), (3, 3), (3, 4), (3, 5), (4, 1), (4, 2), (4, 3), (4,4), (4, 5), (5, 1), (5, 2), (5, 3), (5, 4), (5, 5), (6, 1), (6, 2), (6, 3), (6, 4), (6, 5)}

∴ n(S) = 30

Let event A: The sum of the numbers on the upper faces of the dice is divisible by 2.

A = {(1, 1), (1, 3), (1, 5), (2, 2), (2, 4), (3, 1), (3, 3), (3, 5), (4, 2), (4, 4), (5, 1), (5, 3), (5, 5), (6, 2), (6, 4)}

∴ n(A) = 15

$\therefore P ( A )=\frac{n(A)}{n(S)}=\frac{15}{30}$

Let event B: Sum of the numbers on the upper faces of the dice is divisible by 3.

B = {(1, 2), (1, 5), (2, 1), (2, 4), (3, 3), (4, 2), (4, 5), (5, 1), (5, 4), (6, 3)}

∴ n(B) = 10

$\therefore P(B)=\frac{n(B)}{n(S)}=\frac{10}{30}$

Now,

A ∩ B = {(1, 5), (2,4), (3, 3), (4, 2), (5, 1)}

∴ n(A ∩ B) = 5

$\therefore P(A \cap B)=\frac{n(A \cap B)}{n(S)}=\frac{5}{30}$

∴ Required probability P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A ∩ B)

$\begin{aligned} & =\frac{15}{30}+\frac{10}{30}-\frac{5}{30} \\ & =\frac{20}{30} \\ & =\frac{2}{3}\end{aligned}$

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Question 274 Marks
Letters of the word MOTHER are arranged at random. Find the probability that in the arrangement

(a)vowels are always together.

(b)vowels are never together.

(c)O is at the beginning and end with T.

(d)starting with a vowel and ending with a consonant.

Answer
There are 6 letters in the word MOTHER.

These letters can be arranged among themselves in ${ }^6 P _6=6$ ! ways.

∴ n(S) = 6!

(a) Let event A: Vowels are always together.

The word MOTHER consists of 2 vowels (O, E) and 4 consonants (M, T, H, R).

2 vowels can be arranged among themselves in ${ }^2 P _2=2$ ! ways.

Let us consider 2 vowels as one group.

This one group with 4 consonants can be arranged in ${ }^5 P _5=5$ ! ways.

$\begin{aligned} & \therefore n ( A )=2 ! \times 5 ! \\ & \therefore P ( A )=\frac{n(A)}{n(S)}=\frac{2 ! \times 5 !}{6 !}=\frac{1}{3}\end{aligned}$

Let event B: Vowels are never together.

4 consonants create 5 gaps, in which vowels are arranged.

Consider the following arrangement of consonants

_C_C_C_C_

2 vowels can be arranged in 5 gaps in ${ }^5 P _2$ ways.

Also 4 consonants can be arranged among themselves in ${ }^4 P _4=4$ ! ways.

$\begin{aligned} & \therefore n ( B )=4 ! \times{ }^5 P _2 \\ & \therefore P ( B )=\frac{n(B)}{n(S)}=\frac{4 ! \times^5 P_2}{6 !}=\frac{4 ! \times 5 \times 4}{6 \times 5 \times 4 !}=\frac{2}{3}\end{aligned}$

Let event C: Word begin with O and end with T. Thus first and last letters can be arranged in one way each and the remaining 4 letters can

be arranged in ${ }^4 P _4=4$ ! ways

$\begin{aligned} & \therefore n ( C )=4 ! \times 1 \times 1=4 ! \\ & \therefore P ( C )=\frac{n(C)}{n(S)}=\frac{4 !}{6 !}=\frac{1}{30}\end{aligned}$

Let event D: Word starts with a vowel and ends with a consonant.

There are 2 vowels and 4 consonants in the word MOTHER.

∴ The first place can be arranged in 2 different ways and the last place can be arranged in 4 different ways.

Now, the remaining 4 letters ( 3 consonants and 1 vowel) can be arranged in ${ }^4 P_4=4$ !

ways.

$\begin{aligned} & \therefore n ( D )=2 \times 4 \times 4 ! \\ & \therefore P ( D )=\frac{n(D)}{n(S)}=\frac{2 \times 4 \times 4 !}{6 !}=\frac{4}{15}\end{aligned}$

View full question & answer
Question 284 Marks
Find the probability of getting both red balls, when from a bag containing 5 red and 4 black balls, two balls are drawn,

(i) with replacement

ii. without replacement

Answer
The bag contains 5 red and 4 black balls, i.e., 5 + 4 = 9 balls.

2 balls can be drawn from 9 balls with replacement in ${ }^9 C _1 \times{ }^9 C _1$ ways.

$\therefore n ( S )={ }^9 C _1 \times{ }^9 C _1=9 \times 9=81$

Let event A: Balls drawn are red.

2 red balls can be drawn from 5 red balls with replacement in ${ }^5 C _1 \times{ }^5 C _1$ ways.

$\begin{aligned} & \therefore n ( A )={ }^5 C _1 \times{ }^5 C _1=5 \times 5=25 \\ & \therefore P(A)=\frac{n(A)}{n(S)}=\frac{25}{81}\end{aligned}$

2 balls can be drawn from 9 balls without replacement in ${ }^9 C_1 \times{ }^8 C_1$ ways.

$\therefore n ( S )={ }^9 C_1 \times{ }^8 C_1=9 \times 8=72$

2 red balls can be drawn from 5 red balls without replacement in ${ }^5 C _1 \times{ }^4 C _1$ ways.

$\begin{aligned} & \therefore n ( B )={ }^5 C _1 \times{ }^4 C _1=5 \times 4=20 \\ & \therefore P ( B )=\frac{n(B)}{n(S)}=\frac{20}{72}=\frac{5}{18}\end{aligned}$

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Question 294 Marks
A box contains 75 tickets numbered 1 to 75. A ticket is drawn at random from the box. Find the probability that,

(a) number on the ticket is divisible by 6.

(b)the number on the ticket is a perfect square.

(c)the number on the ticket is prime.

(d)the number on the ticket is divisible by 3 and 5.

Answer
Event A : Self

Let event B: Number on the ticket is a perfect square.

∴ B = (1, 4, 9, 16, 25, 36, 49, 64}

∴ n(B) = 8

$\therefore P ( B )=\frac{n(B)}{n(S)}=\frac{8}{75}$

Let event C: Number on the ticket is a prime number.

∴C = {2, 3, 5, 7, 11, 13, 17, 19, 23, 29, 31, 37, 41, 43, 47, 53, 59, 61, 67, 71, 73}

Event D : Self

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Question 304 Marks
A fair die is thrown two times. Find the probability that A: the sum of the numbers on them is 5.

B: the sum of the numbers on them is at least 8.

C: the first throw gives a multiple of 2 and the second throw gives a multiple of 3.

D: product of numbers on them is 12.

Answer
When two dice are thrown, the sample space is

S = {(1, 1), (1, 2), (1, 3), (1, 4), (1, 5), (1, 6), (2, 1), (2, 2), (2, 3), (2, 4), (2, 5), (2, 6), (3, 1), (3, 2), (3, 3), (3, 4), (3, 5), (3, 6), (4, 1), (4, 2), (4, 3), (4, 4), (4, 5), (4, 6), (5, 1), (5, 2), (5, 3), (5, 4), (5, 5), (5, 6), (6, 1), (6, 2), (6, 3), (6,4), (6, 5), (6, 6)}

∴ n(S) = 36

(a) Let event A: Sum of the numbers on uppermost face is 5.

∴ A = {(1, 4), (2, 3), (3, 2), (4, 1)}

∴ n(A) = 4

$\therefore P ( A )=\frac{n(A)}{n(S)}=\frac{4}{36}=\frac{1}{9}$

Let event B: Sum of the numbers on uppermost face is at least 8 (i.e., 8 or more than 8)

∴ B = {(2, 6), (3, 5), (3, 6), (4, 4), (4, 5), (4, 6), (5, 3), (5, 4), (5, 5), (5, 6), (6, 2), (6, 3), (6, 4), (6, 5), (6, 6)}

∴ n(B) = 15

$\therefore P ( B )=\frac{n(B)}{n(S)}=\frac{15}{36}=\frac{5}{12}$

Let event C: First throw gives a multiple of 2 and second throw gives a multiple of 3.

∴ C = {(2, 3), (2, 6), (4, 3), (4, 6), (6, 3), (6, 6)}

∴ n(C) = 6

$\therefore P(C)=\frac{n(C)}{n(S)}=\frac{6}{36}=\frac{1}{6}$

Let event D: The product of the numbers on uppermost face is 12.

∴ D = {(2, 6), (3, 4), (4, 3), (6, 2)}

∴ n(D) = 4

$\therefore P ( D )=\frac{n(D)}{n(S)}=\frac{4}{36}=\frac{1}{9}$

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Question 314 Marks
Find n(S) for each of the following random experiments.

(a) From an urn containing 5 gold and 3 silver coins, 3 coins are drawn at random.

(b)5 letters are to be placed into 5 envelopes such that no envelope is empty..

(c)6 books of different subjects are arranged on a shelf.

(d)3 tickets are drawn from a box containing 20 lottery tickets.

Answer
There are 5 gold and 3 silver coins, i.e., 8 coins.

3 coins can be drawn from these 8 coins in ${ }^8 C_3$ ways.

$\therefore n ( s )={ }^8 C _3=\frac{8 !}{5 ! 3 !}=\frac{8 \times 7 \times 6 \times 5 !}{5 ! \times 3 \times 2 \times 1}=56$

B.5 letters have to be placed in 5 envelopes in such a way that no envelope is empty.

∴ The first letter can be placed into 5 envelopes in 5 different ways, the second letter in 4 ways.

Similarly, the third, fourth and fifth letters can be placed in 3 ways, 2 ways and 1 way, respectively.

∴ Total number of ways = 5! = 5 × 4 × 3 × 2 × 1 = 120

∴ n(S) = 120

C.6 books can be arranged on a shelf in ${ }^6 P_6=6$ ! ways.

∴ n(S) = 6! = 6 × 5 × 4 × 3 × 2 × 1 = 720

D.3 tickets are drawn at random from 20 tickets.

$\therefore 3$ tickets can be selected in ${ }^{20} C _3$ ways.

$\therefore n ( S )={ }^{20} C _3=\frac{20 !}{17 ! 3 !}=\frac{20 \times 19 \times 18 \times 17 !}{17 ! \times 3 \times 2 \times 1}=1140$

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