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Solve the Following Question.(3 Marks)

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Question 13 Marks
If a fair coin is tossed $10$ times, find the probability of getting
$(i)$ exactly six heads.
$(ii)$ at least six heads.
Answer
The repeated tosses is a Bernoulli trials.
Let $X$ denote the number of heads in an experiment of $10$ trials.
$\therefore X \sim B (n, p),$ with $n=10, p=\frac{1}{2},$
$q=1-p=1-\frac{1}{2}=\frac{1}{2}$
$P ( X =x)={ }^n C _x p^x q^{n-x}$
$={ }^{10} C _x\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^x\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{n-x}$
$(i)\  P\ ($exactly six heads$)= P ( X =6)$
$={ }^{10} C _6\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^6 \cdot\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^4$
$=\frac{10.9 .8 .7 .6 .5}{6.5 .4 .3 .2} \times \frac{1}{1024}=\frac{105}{512}$
$(ii) \ P\  ($at least $6$ success$)= P ( X \geq 6)$
$=P(X=6)+P(X=7)+P(X=8)+P(X=9)$
$+P(X=10)$
$={ }^{10} C_6\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^6\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^4+{ }^{10} C_7\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^7\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^3 +{ }^{10} C_8\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^8\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^2+{ }^{10} C_9\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^9\left(\frac{1}{2}\right) +{ }^{10} C_{10}\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{10}\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^0$
$=\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{10}\left[{ }^{10} C_4+{ }^{10} C_3+{ }^{10} C_2+{ }^{10} C_1+1\right]$
$=\frac{1}{1024}\left[\frac{10.9 .8 .7}{4.3 .2}+\frac{10.9 .8}{3.2}+\frac{10.9}{2}+10+1\right]$
$=\frac{1}{1024}[210+120+45+11]$
$=\frac{386}{400}=\frac{193}{E 10}$
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Question 23 Marks
Each of the total five questions in a multiple choice examination has four choices, only one of which is correct. A student is attempting to guess the answer. The random variable $x$ is the number of questions answered correctly. What is the probability that the student will give atleast one correct answer ?
Answer

Let X : number of question answered correctly out of 5.
p = P (correct answer)
p = 1/4
q = 1 - p = 3/4 and n = 5
X ~ B( n= 5,p =1/4)
The p.m.f of X is given as
$p(X=x)=p(x)={ }^5 C_x\left(\frac{1}{4}\right)^x\left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^5-x$
where x = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability a student will get at least one correct answer
= P(X ≥ 1) = 1 - P(X < 1) 
= 1 - P(X = 0)
= $1-{ }^5 C_0\left(\frac{1}{4}\right)^0\left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^5$
= $1-\frac{243}{1024}$
=781/1024=0.7627

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Question 43 Marks
The probability that a person who undergoes a kidney operation will be recovered is 0.5 . Find the probability that of the 6 patients who undergo similar operations:
(a) none will recover.
(b) half of them will recover.
Answer

Probability of recovery=P(R)= 0.5
Probability of non-recovery $=P(\bar{R})=1-0.5=0.5$
(a) If there are six patients, the probability that none recovers
$={ }^6 C_0 \times[P(R)]^0 \times[P(\bar{R})]^6=(0.5)^6=\frac{1}{64}$
(b) Of the six patients, the probability that half will recover 
$={ }^6 C_3 \times[P(R)]^3 \times[P(\bar{R})]^3=\frac{6 !}{3 ! 3 !} \times 0.5^3 \times 0.5^3=20 \times \frac{1}{64}=\frac{5}{16}$

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Question 53 Marks
If a fair coin is tossed $10$ times, find the probability of getting at most six heads.
Answer
Here the repeated tosses of a coin are Bernoulli trials.
Let $X$ denote the number of heads in an experiment of $10$ trials.
$\therefore X \sim B (n, p)$
$n=10, P=\frac{1}{2}, q=1-p=1-\frac{1}{2}=\frac{1}{2}$
$P ( X =x)={ }^n C _x p_x q^{n-x}$
$={ }^{10} C _x\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^x\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{n-x}$
The probability of at most $6$ heads,
$\text { i.e. } x \leq 6$
$P (x \leq 6)=1- P (x>6)$
$=1-[ P ( X =7)+ P ( X =8)+ P ( X =9)$
$+ P ( X =10)$
$=1-\left[{ }^{10} C _7\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^7\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^3+{ }^{10} C _8\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^8\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^2\right.$
$\left.+{ }^{10} C _9\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^9\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)+{ }^{10} C _{10}\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{10}\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^0\right]$
$=1-\left[\frac{10.9 .8}{3.2}\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{10}+\frac{10.9}{2}\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{10}+10\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{10}+\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{10}\right]$
$=1-\left[\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{10}(120+45+10+1)\right]$
$=1-\frac{1}{1024} \times 176$
$=1-\frac{88}{512}=\frac{512-88}{512}$
$=\frac{424}{512}=\frac{53}{64}$
$\therefore P(x \leq 6)=\frac{53}{64}$
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Question 63 Marks
Given $X \sim B(n, p)$. If $E(X)=6$, and $\operatorname{Var}(X)=4.2$, find the value of $n$ and $p$.
Answer

Given, X ~ B (n, p) and E(X) = 6 and Var (X) = 4.2
$\begin{aligned} & \text { Now, } \frac{E(X)}{u(X)}=\frac{n p}{n p q} \\ & \Rightarrow \frac{6}{4.2}=\frac{1}{q} \\ & \Rightarrow q =\frac{4.2}{6}=0.7\end{aligned}$
Since,  p + q = 1
⇒ p + 0.7 = 1
⇒ p = 0.3
Now E(X) = np
⇒ 6 = n × 0.3
$\Rightarrow n =\frac{6}{0.3}=\frac{60}{3}=20$

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Question 73 Marks
A fair coin is tossed 9 times. Find the probability that it shows head exactly 5 times.
Answer

Let X = no. of heads shows
$\begin{aligned} & n =9 \quad p =\frac{1}{2} \quad q =\frac{1}{2} \\ & P ( X = x )={ }^n C_x p^n \cdot(q)^{n-x} X =0,1 \ldots . . n \\ & P ( X =5)={ }^9 C_5\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^5\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^4\end{aligned}$
$\begin{aligned} & =\frac{9 \times 8 \times 7 \times 6}{4 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1} \times \frac{1}{2^9} \\ & =\frac{3024}{24} \times \frac{1}{2^9} \\ & =\frac{126}{2^9} \\ & =\frac{126}{512} \\ & =0.2460\end{aligned}$

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Question 83 Marks
A fair coin is tossed 8 times. Find the probability that it shows heads.
(a) exactly 5 times
(b) at least once.
Answer

(a)
Let X = Number of heads
p = probability of getting head in one toss
$\begin{aligned} & p=\frac{1}{2} \\ & q=1-p=1-\frac{1}{2}=\frac{1}{2}\end{aligned}$
Given n = 8
$x \sim B\left(8, \frac{1}{2}\right)$
The p.m.f. of X is given as
$\begin{aligned} & P ( X = x )={ }^n C_x p^x q^{n-x} \\ & \text { i.e } P ( x )={ }^8 C_x\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^x\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{8-x}, x=0,1,2,3, \ldots \ldots, 8\end{aligned}$
P(exactly 5 heads) = P[X = 5]
= P(5)
$\begin{aligned} & ={ }^8 C_5\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^5\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{8-5} \\ & ={ }^8 C_3\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^5\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^3 \quad \ldots\left[\because{ }^n C_x={ }^n C_{n-x}\right]\end{aligned}$
$\begin{aligned} & =\frac{8 \cdot 7 \cdot 6}{6} \times\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^8 \\ & =8 \times 7 \times \frac{1}{16 \times 16} \\ & =\frac{7}{32}\end{aligned}$
∴ P[X = 5] = 0.21875
Hence, the probability of getting exactly 5 heads is 0.21875
(b)
Let X = Number of heads
p = probability of getting head in one toss
$\begin{aligned} & p=\frac{1}{2} \\ & q=1-p=1-\frac{1}{2}=\frac{1}{2}\end{aligned}$
Given n = 8
$x \sim B\left(8, \frac{1}{2}\right)$
The p.m.f. of X is given as
$\begin{aligned} & P ( X = x )={ }^n C_x p^x q^{n-x} \\ & \text { i.e } P ( x )={ }^8 C_x\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^x\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{8-x}, x=0,1,2,3, \ldots \ldots, 8\end{aligned}$
P (getting heads at least once)
P[X > = 1] = 1 – P[X = 0]
= 1 – P(0)
$\begin{aligned} & =1-{ }^8 C_0\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^0\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{8-0} \\ & =1-\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^8 \\ & =1-\frac{1}{256} \\ & =\frac{255}{256}\end{aligned}$
P[X > = 1] = 0.996

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Question 93 Marks
The probability that a person who undergoes kidney operation will recover is 0.5 . Find the probability that of the six patients who undergo similar operations.
(a) None will recover
(b) Half of them will recover.
Answer

Probability of recovery=P(R)= 0.5
Probability of non-recovery $=P(\bar{R})=1-0.5=0.5$
(a) If there are six patients, the probability that none recovers
$={ }^6 C_0 \times[P(R)]^0 \times[P(\bar{R})]^6=(0.5)^6=\frac{1}{64}$
(b) Of the six patients, the probability that half will recover 
$={ }^6 C_3 \times[P(R)]^3 \times[P(\bar{R})]^3=\frac{6 !}{3 ! 3 !} \times 0.5^3 \times 0.5^3=20 \times \frac{1}{64}=\frac{5}{16}$

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Question 103 Marks
A fair coin is tossed 8 times. Find the probability that it shows heads at least once.
Answer

Let X = Number of heads
p = probability of getting head in one toss
$\begin{aligned} & p=\frac{1}{2} \\ & q=1-p=1-\frac{1}{2}=\frac{1}{2}\end{aligned}$
Given n = 8
$x \sim B\left(8, \frac{1}{2}\right)$
The p.m.f. of X is given as
$\begin{aligned} & P ( X = x )={ }^n C_x p^x q^{n-x} \\ & \text { i.e } P ( x )={ }^8 C_x\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^x\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{8-x}, x=0,1,2,3, \ldots \ldots, 8\end{aligned}$
P (getting heads at least once)
P[X > = 1] = 1 – P[X = 0]
= 1 – P(0)
$\begin{aligned} & =1-{ }^8 C_0\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^0\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{8-0} \\ & =1-\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^8 \\ & =1-\frac{1}{256} \\ & =\frac{255}{256}\end{aligned}$
P[X > = 1] = 0.996

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Question 113 Marks
The probability that a certain kind of component will survive a check test is 0.6 . Find the probability that exactly 2 of the next 4 tested components survive.
Answer

$\begin{aligned} & p=0.6, q=1-p=1-0.6=0.4 \\ & n=4, r=2 \\ & p(X=r)={ }^n C_r p^r q^{n-r} \\ & p(X=2)={ }^4 C_2(0.6)^2(0.4)^2 \\ & =\frac{4 \times 3}{1 \times 2}(0.36)(0.16) \\ & =0.3456\end{aligned}$

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Question 123 Marks
An insurance agent insures lives of $5 men$, all of the same age and in good health. The probability that a man of this age will survive the next 30 years is known to be $\frac{2}{3}$. Find the probability that in the next 30 years at most 3 men will survive.
Answer

$\begin{aligned} & p=\frac{2}{3}, q=1-\frac{2}{3}=\frac{1}{3}, n=5 \\ & P(x \leq 3)=1-P(x>3) \\ & =1-[P(4) \mp P(5)]\end{aligned}$
$\begin{aligned} & =1-\left[{ }^5 C_4\left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^4\left(\frac{1}{3}\right)^1+{ }^5 C_5\left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^5\right] \\ & =1-\left[5 \times \frac{16}{81} \times \frac{1}{3}+1 \times \frac{32}{343}\right] \\ & =1-\frac{16}{243} \times 7 \\ & =1-\frac{112}{243}\end{aligned}$
$\begin{aligned} & =\frac{243-112}{243} \\ & =\frac{131}{243} \\ & =0.539\end{aligned}$

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Question 133 Marks
Suppose that $80 \%$ of all families own a television set. If 10 families are interviewed at random, find the probability that at most three families own a television set.
Answer
coming soon
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Question 143 Marks
Suppose that $80 \%$ of all families own a television set. If 5 families are interviewed at random. find the probability that (a) three families own a television set. (b) at least two families own a television set.
Answer

X = Number of families who own a television set.
P = Probability of families who own a television set.
$\begin{aligned} & P=80 \%=\frac{80}{100}=\frac{4}{5} \\ & q=1-p=1-\frac{4}{5}=\frac{1}{5} \\ & \text { Given } n=5, X \sim B\left(5, \frac{4}{5}\right)\end{aligned}$
The p.m.f. or X is given as
$\begin{aligned} & P(X=x)={ }^n C_x p^x q^{n-x} \\ & ={ }^n C_x p^x q^{5-x}\end{aligned}$
a. P(families own television set)
$\begin{aligned} & =P(X=3) \\ & ={ }^5 C_3\left(\frac{4}{5}\right)^3\left(\frac{1}{5}\right)^{5-3} \\ & =\frac{128}{625} \\ & =0.2048\end{aligned}$
b. P(At least two families own television set)
$\begin{aligned} & P(X \geq 2)=1-P(X<2) \\ & =1-[P(X=0)+P(X=1)] \\ & =1-\left[{ }^5 C_0\left(\frac{4}{5}\right)^0\left(\frac{1}{5}\right)^5+{ }^5 C_1\left(\frac{4}{5}\right)^1 \times\left(\frac{1}{5}\right)^4\right] \\ & =1-\left(\frac{1}{55}+\frac{20}{55}\right) \\ & =1-\left(\frac{21}{55}\right)=\frac{34}{55} .\end{aligned}$

 

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Question 153 Marks
If the probability that a fluorescent light has a useful life of at least $800$ hours is $0.9$ , find the probabilities that among $20$ such lights at least $2$ will not have a useful life of at least $800$ hours. $[$Given: $(0.9)^{19}=0.1348]$
Answer
Let $X$ be the number of fluorescent lights that have a useful life of at least $800$ hours.
$P($a light has useful life of at least $800$ hours$) = p = 0.9, q = 1 - 0.9 = 0.1$
Given $n = 20$
$\therefore X ~ B (20, 0.9)$
The p.m.f. of $X$ is given by
$P(X = x) = p(x) = ^{20}C_x (0.9)^x (0.1)^{20-x} , x = 0,1,2, ……,20$
$P($at least $2$ lights will not have a useful life$) = P($at most $18$ will have useful life$)$
$= P(X \leq 18) = 1 - P(X > 18)$
$= 1 - [P(X = 19) + P(X = 20)]$
$= 1 - [^{20}C_{19} (0.9)^{19} (0.1) + ^{20}C_{20} (0.9)^{20}]$
$ =1-\left[20 \times \frac{9^{19}}{10^{20}}+\frac{9^{20}}{10^{20}}\right]=1-\left[\frac{9^{19}}{10^{20}}(20+9)\right]$
$ =1-\left(\frac{9^{19} \times 29}{10^{20}}\right)$
Let $M =\frac{29 \times 9^{19}}{10^{20}}$
$\log M=\log 29 + 19 \log 9 - 20 \log 10$
$= 1.4624 + 19 \times 0.9542 - 20 \times 1$
$= 1.4624 + 18.1298 - 20$
$= 19.5922 - 20$
$= 19.5922 - 19 - 1$
$ =\overline{1} .5922$
$ \therefore M =\text { Antilog }(\overline{1} .5922)=0.3910$
$\therefore P($at least two lights will not have a useful life$) = 1 - 0.3910 = 0.6090$
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Solve the Following Question.(3 Marks) - Maths STD 12 Science Questions - Vidyadip