Question 12 Marks
There are three events A, B, C one of which must and only one can happen, the odds are 8 to 3 against A, 5 to 2 against B, find the odds against C.
Answer
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$\text{P}(\overline{\text{A}}):\text{P}(\text{B})=8:3$
$\Rightarrow\frac{1-\text{P}(\text{A})}{\text{P}(\text{A})}=\frac{8}{3}$
$\Rightarrow\text{P}(\text{A})=\frac{3}{11}$
$\text{P}(\overline{\text{B}}):\text{P}(\text{B})=5:2$
$\Rightarrow\frac{1-\text{P}(\text{B})}{\text{P}(\text{B})}=\frac{5}{2}$
$\Rightarrow\frac{1}{\text{P}(\text{B})}=\frac{5}{2}+1=\frac{7}{2}$
$\Rightarrow\text{P}(\text{B})=\frac{2}{7}$
$\because$ A, B and C are mutually exhaustive
$\therefore\text{A}\cup\text{B}\cup\text{C}=\text{S}$
$\Rightarrow\text{P}(\text{A}\cup\text{B}\cup\text{C})=\text{P}(\text{S})$
$\Rightarrow\text{P}(\text{A})+\text{P}(\text{B})+\text{P}(\text{C})=1$
$\text{P}(\text{C})=1-\big\{\text{P}(\text{A})+\text{P}(\text{B})\big\}$
$=1-\Big(\frac{3}{11}+\frac{2}{7}\Big)$
$=1-\frac{43}{77}$
$=\frac{34}{77}$
$\Rightarrow\text{P}(\overline{\text{C}})=1-\text{P}(\text{C})$
$=1-\frac{34}{77}$
$=\frac{43}{77}$
$\therefore$ Odds against C is
$\text{P}(\overline{\text{C}}):\text{P}(\text{C})=\frac{43}{77}:\frac{34}{77}$
$=43:34$
$\text{P}(\overline{\text{A}}):\text{P}(\text{B})=8:3$
$\Rightarrow\frac{1-\text{P}(\text{A})}{\text{P}(\text{A})}=\frac{8}{3}$
$\Rightarrow\text{P}(\text{A})=\frac{3}{11}$
$\text{P}(\overline{\text{B}}):\text{P}(\text{B})=5:2$
$\Rightarrow\frac{1-\text{P}(\text{B})}{\text{P}(\text{B})}=\frac{5}{2}$
$\Rightarrow\frac{1}{\text{P}(\text{B})}=\frac{5}{2}+1=\frac{7}{2}$
$\Rightarrow\text{P}(\text{B})=\frac{2}{7}$
$\because$ A, B and C are mutually exhaustive
$\therefore\text{A}\cup\text{B}\cup\text{C}=\text{S}$
$\Rightarrow\text{P}(\text{A}\cup\text{B}\cup\text{C})=\text{P}(\text{S})$
$\Rightarrow\text{P}(\text{A})+\text{P}(\text{B})+\text{P}(\text{C})=1$
$\text{P}(\text{C})=1-\big\{\text{P}(\text{A})+\text{P}(\text{B})\big\}$
$=1-\Big(\frac{3}{11}+\frac{2}{7}\Big)$
$=1-\frac{43}{77}$
$=\frac{34}{77}$
$\Rightarrow\text{P}(\overline{\text{C}})=1-\text{P}(\text{C})$
$=1-\frac{34}{77}$
$=\frac{43}{77}$
$\therefore$ Odds against C is
$\text{P}(\overline{\text{C}}):\text{P}(\text{C})=\frac{43}{77}:\frac{34}{77}$
$=43:34$