There are three coins. One is two-headed coin (having head on bot… - Vidyadip

Question

There are three coins. One is two-headed coin (having head on both faces), another is biased coin that comes up heads 75% of the times and third is also a biased coin that comes up tail 40% of the times. One of the three coins is chosen at random and tossed, and it shows heads. What is the probability that it was the two-headed coin?

✓

Answer

A be the event of choosing two - headed coin,
B be the event of choosing a biased coin that comes up head 75% of the times,
C be the event of choosing a biased coin that comes up tail 40% of the times and
E be the event of getting a head.
Now,
$\text{P(A)}=\text{P(B)}=\text{P(C)}=\frac{1}{3}$ and
$\text{P}(\text{E}|\text{A})=1,\text{P}(\text{E}|\text{B})=75\%=\frac{75}{100}=\frac{3}{4}$ and $\text{P}(\text{E}|\text{C})=60\%=\frac{60}{100}=\frac{3}{5}$
So, using Bayes' theorem, we get
P (the head shown was of two - headed coin) = P(A|E)
$=\frac{\text{P(A)}\times\text{P}(\text{E}|\text{A})}{\text{P(A)}\times\text{P}(\text{E}|\text{A})+\text{P(B)}\times(\text{E}|\text{B})+\text{P(C)}\times\text{P}(\text{E}|\text{C})}$
$=\frac{\Big(\frac{1}{3}\times1\Big)}{\Big(\frac{1}{3}\times1+\frac{1}{3}\times\frac{3}{4}+\frac{1}{3}\times\frac{3}{5}\Big)}$
$=\frac{\Big(\frac{1}{3}\Big)}{\Big(\frac{1}{3}+\frac{1}{4}+\frac{1}{5}\Big)}$
$=\frac{\Big(\frac{1}{3}\Big)}{\Big(\frac{20+15+12}{60}\Big)}$
$=\frac{\Big(\frac{4}{3}\Big)}{\Big(\frac{47}{60}\Big)}$
$=\frac{60}{3\times47}$
$=\frac{20}{47}$
So, the probability that the head shown was of a two-headed coin is $=\frac{20}{47}$.
Disclaimer: The answer given in the book is incorrect. The same has been corrected here.

Need a full question paper?

Generate a complete, print-ready paper with questions like this in minutes — across 16+ boards, with answer keys.

Start Generating Free

Explore more

More "4 Marks" from Probability→Probability — all question types→Maths STD 12 Science question papers→Gujarat Board STD 12 Science question papers→Gujarat Board question paper generator→

Similar questions

If $\text{A}=\begin{bmatrix}0&1\\1&1\end{bmatrix}$ and $\text{B}=\begin{bmatrix}0&-1\\1&0\end{bmatrix},$ then show that $(\text{A}+\text{B})(\text{A}-\text{B})\neq\text{A}^2-\text{B}^2.$

Let $\text{F}(\alpha)=\begin{bmatrix}\cos\alpha & -\sin\alpha & 0 \\ \sin\alpha & \cos\alpha & 0 \\ 0 & 0 & 1\end{bmatrix}$ and
$\text{G}(\beta)=\begin{bmatrix} \cos\beta & 0 & \sin\beta \\ 0 & 1 & 0 \\ -\sin\beta & 0 & \cos\beta \end{bmatrix}$
Show that
$\big[\text{F}(\alpha)\big]^{-1}=\text{F}(-\alpha)$

Evaluate the following integrals:
$\int\frac{\cot\text{x}}{\sqrt{\sin\text{x}}}\text{dx}$

Find the maximum and the minimum values, if any, without using derivaives of the following functions:

f(x) = 2x³+ 5 on R.

A coin is tossed three times. Let the events A, B and C be defined as follows:
A = first toss is head, B = second toss is head, and C = exactly two heads are tossed in a row. Check the independence of,

A and B.
B and C.
C and A.

Find the area under the curve $\text{y}=\sqrt{6\text{x}+4}$ above x-axis from x = 0 to x = 2. Draw a sketch of curve also.

Find the position vector of the food of perpendicular and the perpendicular distance from the point P with position vector $2\hat{\text{i}}+3\hat{\text{j}}+4\hat{\text{k}}$ to the plane $\vec{\text{r}}.(2\hat{\text{i}}+\hat{\text{j}}+3\hat{\text{k}})-26=0.$ Also find image or P in the plane.

Evaluate the following intregals:
$\int\frac{\text{x}^2+\text{x}+1}{\text{x}^2-1}\text{ dx}\int\frac{\text{x}^2+\text{x}+1}{\text{x}^2-1}\ \text{dx}$

A bank pays interest by continuous compounding, that is, by treating the interest rate as the instantaneous rate of change of principal. Suppose in an account interest accrues at 8% per year, compounded continuously. Calculate the percentage increase in such an account over one year.

Evaluate the following integrals:

$\int\limits^{\text{a}}_0\text{x}\sqrt{\frac{\text{a}^2-\text{x}^2}{\text{a}^2+\text{x}^2}}\text{ dx}$

→