Choose the correct answer from the given four options. Assume that in a family, each child is equally likely to be a boy or a girl. A family with three children is chosen at random. The probability that the eldest child is a girl given that the family has at least one girl is:
AnswerCorrect option: D. $\frac{4}{7}$
Here, $S = \{(B, B, B), (G, G, G), (B, G, G), (G, B, G), (G, G, B), (G. B, B), (B, G, B), (B, B. G)\}$
$E_1 =$ Event that a family has atleast one girl, then
$E_1 = \{(G, B, B), (B, G, B), (B, B. G), (G, G, B), (B, G, G), (G. B, G), (G, G, G)\}$
$E_2 =$ Event that the eldest child is a girl, then
$E_2 = \{(G, B, B), (G, G, B), (G, B, G) (G, G, G)\}$
$\therefore\text{E}_1\cup\text{E}_2=\left\{(\text{G},\text{B},\text{B}),(\text{G},\text{G},\text{B}),(\text{G},\text{B},\text{G}),(\text{G},\text{G},\text{G})\right\}$
$\therefore\text{P}\Big(\frac{\text{E}_2}{\text{E}_1}\Big)=\frac{\text{P}(\text{E}_1\cap\text{E}_2)}{\text{P}(\text{E}_1)}$
$=\frac{\frac{4}{8}}{\frac{7}{8}}$
$=\frac{4}{7}$